Model Predictions
| Model | Tennessee State Tigers | Murray State Racers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.2% | 91.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 5.7% | 94.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.3% | 97.7% | +20.7 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 18.3% | 81.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 13.8% | 86.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Murray State Racers +22 (76-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Tennessee State Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Covington | 32 | 8-16 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 11 | - |
| L. Funderburke | 29 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| W. Peters | 26 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| J. Nobles | 26 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| J. Crutcher | 21 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | - |
| G. Holley | 21 | 2-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| H. Nash | 18 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| T. Fredrick | 18 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| J. Sain | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | - |
| M. Buie | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | - |
| E. Peguero | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| M. Cowan | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Miles | 26 | 0-9 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | - |
| D. Thomas | 25 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 15 | - |
| B.J. Jenkins | 23 | 7-12 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 14 | - |
| T. Easley | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 5 | - |
| I. Canaan | 21 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 5 | - |
| I. Aska | 20 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| D. Poole | 17 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | - |
| J. McClain | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| J. Long | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| E. Daniel | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| G. Fotso | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A.J. Wilson | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter