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Illinois Fighting Illini 57
@
Iowa Hawkeyes 49
2010-02-03

Model Predictions

Model Illinois Fighting Illini Iowa Hawkeyes Spread Result
Elo 77.1% 22.9% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 33.9% 66.1% - ✗
Margin 22.3% 77.7% +6.9 ✗ (14.9 off)
Pythagorean 72.4% 27.6% - ✓
Efficiency 95.7% 4.3% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 82.5% 17.5% - ✓
Log Adjusted 82.5% 17.5% - ✓

Actual: Iowa Hawkeyes -8 (49-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. McCamey 35 5-12 2-5 3-4 7 7 0 0 3 15 14 -
M. Tisdale 33 5-7 0-0 4-6 7 0 0 2 2 14 14 -
D.J. Richardson 33 3-7 2-6 3-4 0 2 1 0 0 11 7 -
M. Davis 29 3-7 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 1 2 6 5 -
B. Cole 26 1-2 0-1 1-2 1 1 1 0 0 3 4 -
J. Jordan 15 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
B. Paul 12 1-7 0-2 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 2 -2 -
T. Griffey 11 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 4 3 -
D. Keller 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Iowa Hawkeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Gatens 37 4-12 3-6 1-2 4 6 0 1 2 12 9 -
C. Payne 34 2-9 1-5 0-1 5 3 0 0 0 5 4 -
E. May 32 2-8 1-6 0-0 7 1 3 0 2 5 6 -
J. Cole 31 4-9 0-0 2-3 5 0 1 0 2 10 5 -
A. Fuller 29 1-7 0-2 4-4 9 1 0 0 0 6 9 -
B. Cougill 17 2-6 2-6 2-2 7 0 0 0 2 8 7 -
D. Bawinkel 14 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 -
J. Lickliter 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 0 1 -
N. Neari 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter