Model Predictions
| Model | George Mason Patriots | Georgia State Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.9% | 40.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.0% | 37.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 48.6% | 51.4% | +0.3 | ✓ (3.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.8% | 37.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.6% | 37.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Georgia State Panthers +4 (61-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
George Mason Patriots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Long | 34 | 1-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | - |
| A. Cornelius | 31 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| R. Pearson | 31 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 9 | - |
| M. Morrison | 25 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| I. Tate | 21 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| L. Hancock | 19 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| S. Wright | 15 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | - |
| J. Williams | 13 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| L. Birdsong | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
Georgia State Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Dukes | 35 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 23 | - |
| T. Hampton | 34 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 0 | - |
| M. Johnson | 31 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Ali | 26 | 9-13 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 15 | - |
| T. Goldston | 20 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -2 | - |
| X. Hansbro | 19 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| O. Krubally | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| J. Vincent | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| D. Curry | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Fields | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter