Model Predictions
| Model | VCU Rams | UNC Wilmington Seahawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 94.6% | 5.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 85.0% | 15.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 88.1% | 11.9% | -11.0 | ✓ (2.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 71.9% | 28.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 92.8% | 7.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 92.9% | 7.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 72.7% | 27.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNC Wilmington Seahawks -13 (60-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
VCU Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Rodriguez | 31 | 6-15 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 7 | - |
| B. Burgess | 29 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| E. Nixon | 22 | 7-11 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 10 | - |
| D. Theus | 21 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| L. Sanders | 19 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 | - |
| T. Saintil | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| J. Skeen | 16 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| B. Rozzell | 13 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Daniels | 11 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| K. Pishchalnikov | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| T.J. Gwynn | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| D. Hinton | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| I. Grayson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Gavin | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UNC Wilmington Seahawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Tomko | 32 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 11 | -5 | - |
| J. Fields | 28 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5-12 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 18 | - |
| J. Wolf | 28 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| A. Grant | 26 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| K. Rendleman | 23 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| D. Jeralds | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| T. Deloach | 16 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| W. Ohuaregbe | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Lacy | 9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| M. Downey | 6 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter