Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Indiana State Sycamores | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.7% | 66.3% | +3.7 | ✓ (3.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 75.3% | 24.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana State Sycamores +7 (72-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Eldridge | 37 | 0-7 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | - |
| A. Rubin | 34 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| D. Odiakosa | 33 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 11-13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 24 | - |
| L. Phillips | 33 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| T. Lewis | 16 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| K. Thornton | 14 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| J. Carmichael | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| A. Hill | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Clark | 9 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| B. Mishler | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Coates | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Johnson | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Marshall | 38 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 10-11 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 21 | - |
| R. Reed | 33 | 4-11 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 10 | - |
| C. Richard | 32 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| J. Printy | 32 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| J. Crawford | 18 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| A. Carter | 16 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| I. Martin | 14 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| K. Doluony | 9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| B. Leitnaker | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Lathan | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter