Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Vanderbilt Commodores | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.3% | 80.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.4% | 50.6% | +0.1 | ✓ (2.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 18.4% | 81.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Vanderbilt Commodores +3 (75-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Stewart | 37 | 5-14 | 2-8 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| J. Varnado | 34 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 12 | 22 | - |
| D. Bost | 34 | 3-14 | 3-12 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 12 | -4 | - |
| P. Turner | 25 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 4-5 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| K. Augustus | 21 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 3-6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 6 | - |
| R. Johnson | 20 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| R. Osby | 18 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| R. Benock | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Vanderbilt Commodores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Beal | 35 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 13 | - |
| B. Tinsley | 29 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| J. Taylor | 29 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 6 | - |
| J. Jenkins | 23 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 4 | - |
| A. Walker | 23 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| A.J. Ogilvy | 21 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 10 | - |
| F. Ezeli | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | - |
| L. Goulbourne | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | - |
| S. Tchiengang | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| D. McClellan | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter