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2010-02-02

Model Predictions

Model Michigan State Spartans Wisconsin Badgers Spread Result
Elo 58.1% 41.9% -
Bradley-Terry 58.3% 41.7% -
Margin 57.4% 42.6% -1.6 (19.6 off)
Pythagorean 44.5% 55.5% -
Efficiency 47.7% 52.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 37.7% 62.3% -
Log Adjusted 37.0% 63.0% -

Actual: Wisconsin Badgers +18 (67-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Summers 34 4-8 1-3 2-2 3 2 0 0 1 11 7 -
R. Morgan 30 1-4 0-1 6-9 10 0 0 0 2 8 12 -
C. Allen 29 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 1 1 0 0 -
K. Lucious 28 4-8 1-4 0-0 2 5 1 0 3 9 6 -
D. Green 27 3-6 0-0 0-0 5 1 2 0 3 6 5 -
K. Lucas 22 3-9 0-0 1-1 2 2 0 0 2 7 0 -
D. Roe 21 2-6 0-0 4-4 6 0 1 0 0 8 9 -
G. Sherman 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
A. Thornton 2 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
I. Dahlman 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Taylor 40 6-16 3-8 2-3 4 4 1 0 1 17 9 -
J. Bohannon 40 8-15 3-9 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 19 10 -
K. Nankivil 38 5-8 1-4 0-0 5 3 1 1 1 11 12 -
R. Wilson 24 5-5 0-0 0-1 4 0 1 1 2 10 9 -
T. Hughes 24 2-9 1-4 0-0 1 7 1 0 1 5 4 -
T. Jarmusz 22 1-1 1-1 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 3 7 -
R. Evans 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 2 0 0 2 6 -
M. Bruesewitz 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Berggren 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter