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2010-02-02

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Northwestern Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 83.5% 16.5% -
Bradley-Terry 56.9% 43.1% -
Margin 58.3% 41.7% -1.8 (16.8 off)
Pythagorean 46.7% 53.3% -
Efficiency 64.8% 35.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 50.6% 49.4% -
Log Adjusted 50.7% 49.3% -

Actual: Northwestern Wildcats +15 (67-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Harris 36 4-14 2-7 1-3 5 3 3 1 4 11 5 -
Z. Novak 30 2-7 1-6 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 5 1 -
S. Douglass 27 3-6 2-5 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 8 6 -
L. Lucas-Perry 26 2-6 2-5 0-0 1 3 1 0 0 6 5 -
D. Morris 24 3-5 1-1 4-5 0 2 0 0 1 11 7 -
D. Sims 22 2-9 0-2 0-0 7 0 1 1 1 4 3 -
Z. Gibson 18 1-1 0-0 4-4 2 0 0 0 1 6 6 -
M. Vogrich 8 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
C. Person 3 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 -
A. Wright 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Bartelstein 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Northwestern Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Nash 38 2-9 1-4 0-0 11 5 0 1 1 5 12 -
M. Thompson 38 4-5 2-3 2-2 1 3 0 0 3 12 8 -
J. Shurna 37 5-9 3-6 2-2 8 5 0 1 0 15 20 -
L. Mirkovic 33 6-10 0-1 0-0 3 4 2 0 1 12 10 -
D. Crawford 30 6-9 4-5 1-1 2 3 0 1 3 17 11 -
A. Marcotullio 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
K. Rowley 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
M. Capocci 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
I. Peljusic 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
D. Curletti 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
N. Fruendt 2 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 1 1 2 2 -
R. Hearn 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
A. Nichols 0 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter