Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan Wolverines | Northwestern Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.5% | 16.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 58.3% | 41.7% | -1.8 | ✗ (16.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 64.8% | 35.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Northwestern Wildcats +15 (67-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Harris | 36 | 4-14 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Z. Novak | 30 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| S. Douglass | 27 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| L. Lucas-Perry | 26 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| D. Morris | 24 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| D. Sims | 22 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Z. Gibson | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| M. Vogrich | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| C. Person | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| A. Wright | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Bartelstein | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Nash | 38 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 12 | - |
| M. Thompson | 38 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 8 | - |
| J. Shurna | 37 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 20 | - |
| L. Mirkovic | 33 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| D. Crawford | 30 | 6-9 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 11 | - |
| A. Marcotullio | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Rowley | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Capocci | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| I. Peljusic | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Curletti | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N. Fruendt | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| R. Hearn | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Nichols | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter