Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | Charlotte Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 25.8% | 74.2% | +5.8 | ✗ (7.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Charlotte Hornets -2 (101-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Bosh * | 38 | 10-19 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 18 | - |
| Andrea Bargnani * | 38 | 6-14 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Antoine Wright * | 31 | 7-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Hedo Turkoglu * | 28 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Jose Calderon * | 25 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Jarrett Jack * | 23 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 7-8 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 13 | - |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Sonny Weems * | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Amir Johnson * | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Reggie Evans * | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | - |
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gerald Wallace * | 44 | 7-15 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Boris Diaw * | 42 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Raymond Felton * | 30 | 7-12 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Stephen Jackson * | 30 | 5-13 | 2-5 | 6-7 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Tyson Chandler * | 24 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Theo Ratliff * | 23 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Larry Hughes * | 21 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| D.J. Augustin * | 17 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Stephen Graham | 5 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
* = starter