Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.8% | 76.2% | +6.4 | ✓ (11.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +18 (122-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Scola * | 37 | 11-25 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 8 | - |
| Aaron Brooks * | 31 | 3-12 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Trevor Ariza * | 29 | 8-14 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Kevin Martin * | 27 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Mike Harris * | 26 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Kyle Lowry * | 24 | 4-11 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Chuck Hayes * | 22 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Chase Budinger * | 18 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jermaine Taylor * | 12 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Hilton Armstrong * | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff Green * | 36 | 8-11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 21 | - |
| Kevin Durant * | 30 | 8-16 | 1-4 | 8-8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 18 | - |
| James Harden * | 25 | 6-10 | 3-4 | 8-8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 19 | - |
| Russell Westbrook * | 25 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Serge Ibaka * | 23 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Nick Collison * | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Thabo Sefolosha * | 22 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Eric Maynor * | 22 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Nenad Krstic * | 20 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Etan Thomas | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Kyle Weaver | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter