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2010-02-01

Model Predictions

Model UConn Huskies Louisville Cardinals Spread Result
Elo 87.6% 12.4% -
Bradley-Terry 44.8% 55.2% -
Margin 46.8% 53.2% +0.7 (12.3 off)
Pythagorean 36.9% 63.1% -
Efficiency 60.0% 40.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 23.0% 77.0% -
Log Adjusted 23.1% 76.9% -

Actual: Louisville Cardinals +13 (82-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Walker 40 5-15 1-4 4-4 5 3 2 0 4 15 6 -
G. Edwards 37 3-6 0-0 7-9 4 1 1 0 3 13 10 -
S. Robinson 36 5-10 0-3 4-5 11 1 0 0 4 14 12 -
J. Dyson 27 6-17 3-5 3-4 2 3 0 0 3 18 3 -
J. Coombs-McDaniel 19 0-4 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
A. Majok 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 2 0 0 8 -
A. Oriakhi 13 2-4 0-0 4-4 6 0 0 1 0 8 11 -
D. Beverly 10 0-0 0-0 1-2 4 0 1 0 2 1 4 -
C. Okwandu 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Swopshire 32 3-8 1-2 2-2 9 1 0 2 0 9 13 -
R. Delk 26 4-7 2-5 0-1 4 0 1 2 1 10 9 -
J. Smith 26 4-9 1-2 5-7 5 1 0 1 2 14 10 -
E. Sosa 26 6-9 2-3 1-2 3 8 0 0 4 15 13 -
S. Samuels 24 5-16 0-0 3-4 3 0 0 2 1 13 1 -
P. Siva 15 2-4 1-2 0-1 0 1 2 0 0 5 4 -
P. Knowles 14 2-5 2-5 2-2 3 2 0 0 2 8 6 -
T. Jennings 14 1-2 0-0 1-2 4 1 3 1 0 3 10 -
K. Kuric 13 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
S. Van Treese 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 2 -
R. Buckles 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
M. Marra 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter