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2010-01-30

Model Predictions

Model USC Trojans Oregon Ducks Spread Result
Elo 71.2% 28.8% -
Bradley-Terry 30.4% 69.6% -
Margin 23.4% 76.6% +6.5 (3.5 off)
Pythagorean 53.4% 46.6% -
Efficiency 19.6% 80.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 58.9% 41.1% -
Log Adjusted 59.0% 41.0% -

Actual: Oregon Ducks +10 (67-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Johnson 39 2-10 1-3 0-2 4 1 0 0 4 5 -4 -
D. Lewis 35 6-12 3-6 1-2 3 1 2 0 1 16 9 -
M. Gerrity 35 5-10 1-2 1-2 1 5 2 0 2 12 8 -
N. Vucevic 34 5-12 0-3 0-0 14 1 0 1 1 10 13 -
A. Stepheson 23 0-2 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 3 2 0 4 -
L. Washington 22 2-4 0-1 1-3 3 0 1 0 1 5 4 -
D. Smith 12 3-6 1-3 2-2 0 1 2 0 1 9 5 -

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Armstead 37 7-10 2-3 2-2 7 4 3 0 4 18 18 -
J. Jacob 35 5-10 0-0 9-11 4 1 1 0 1 19 14 -
T. Porter 32 2-5 1-3 4-4 3 0 0 0 3 9 4 -
M. Dunigan 21 1-4 0-0 0-2 3 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
E.J. Singler 20 2-3 1-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 5 5 -
T. Williams 19 2-5 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 4 2 -
M. Humphrey 14 2-4 2-3 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 6 4 -
J. Wilson 12 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 1 2 2 1 -
G. Sim 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 -
J. Crittle 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter