Model Predictions
| Model | Montana State Bobcats | Northern Colorado Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.7% | 70.3% | +4.7 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 22.6% | 77.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 75.6% | 24.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.5% | 98.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.4% | 98.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Colorado Bears +6 (74-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Navarre | 34 | 4-11 | 0-5 | 2-5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 2 | - |
| W. Bynum | 33 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| B. Howard | 31 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| E. Rush | 29 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| B. Johnson | 20 | 4-10 | 4-7 | 4-5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 9 | - |
| C. Anderson | 17 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | - |
| D. Piepoli | 15 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 4-5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| A. Brown | 14 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| C. Henderson | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Figures | 38 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 10-10 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 16 | - |
| N. Kingman | 37 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 5-5 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 14 | - |
| M. Proctor | 25 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 12 | - |
| C. Kaba | 22 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 3-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Y. Bonner | 21 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Beitzel | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| E. Lloyd | 16 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| C. Osborne | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Arnold | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter