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2010-01-30

Model Predictions

Model Providence Friars Cincinnati Bearcats Spread Result
Elo 31.1% 68.9% -
Bradley-Terry 30.9% 69.1% -
Margin 22.7% 77.3% +6.7 (2.7 off)
Pythagorean 47.5% 52.5% -
Efficiency 13.7% 86.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 41.1% 58.9% -
Log Adjusted 41.3% 58.7% -

Actual: Cincinnati Bearcats +4 (92-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Providence Friars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Curry 38 9-21 5-10 4-6 3 2 0 0 6 27 5 -
B. Dixon 29 3-7 0-0 1-3 4 3 1 1 1 7 8 -
V. Council 28 4-8 1-4 1-2 5 6 1 0 3 10 11 -
B. McKenzie 28 2-4 1-3 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 5 6 -
J. Peterson 27 8-15 3-8 0-2 5 0 0 1 0 19 10 -
M. Brooks 20 5-9 1-3 1-1 4 1 1 1 2 12 8 -
D. Mondy 18 2-6 2-5 1-2 1 0 2 0 0 7 4 -
R. Hall 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 -
J. Lacy 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Wright 3 0-1 0-1 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -
R. Permenter 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Still 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Cincinnati Bearcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Vaughn 33 3-8 1-6 5-10 0 4 0 0 0 12 8 -
C. Wright 30 9-11 3-4 3-7 4 5 3 0 0 24 25 -
R. Bishop 28 6-9 3-3 1-4 6 3 0 1 0 16 17 -
Y. Gates 27 3-6 0-0 1-2 7 1 2 1 2 7 10 -
L. Stephenson 22 4-8 1-3 3-6 9 2 1 0 3 12 13 -
D. Wilks 16 5-7 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 0 10 9 -
S. Toyloy 13 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 3 1 -1 -
I. Thomas 11 1-2 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 4 2 -
J. Parker 9 1-3 0-0 4-6 3 1 0 0 0 6 7 -
L. Davis 9 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
D. Dixon 2 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -

* = starter