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2010-03-12

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 47.7% 52.3% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 49.1% 50.9% - โœ—
Margin 38.2% 61.8% +2.7 โœ— (8.7 off)
Pythagorean 47.0% 53.0% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 48.5% 51.5% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 48.5% 51.5% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 43.6% 56.4% - โœ—

Actual: Phoenix Suns -6 (96-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kobe Bryant * 42 7-16 1-5 6-9 10 8 1 0 7 21 17 -
Pau Gasol * 37 7-11 0-0 1-5 8 3 2 4 1 15 20 -
Metta World Peace * 34 6-13 3-8 0-0 3 2 2 0 1 15 8 -
Andrew Bynum * 33 8-12 0-0 2-4 9 1 2 1 0 18 19 -
Derek Fisher * 33 5-9 3-6 2-2 4 4 2 0 1 15 15 -
Lamar Odom * 19 2-8 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 1 2 4 0 -
Shannon Brown * 16 3-5 1-2 2-2 0 0 0 0 1 9 3 -
Sasha Vujacic * 12 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 3 2 -
Josh Powell * 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Jordan Farmar 2 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
Adam Morrison 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Grant Hill * 38 3-8 0-1 7-8 4 2 1 0 3 13 9 -
Amar'e Stoudemire * 37 10-22 0-0 9-11 16 0 0 0 3 29 20 -
Steve Nash * 34 6-14 2-7 0-0 2 8 0 0 4 14 6 -
Jason Richardson * 32 5-15 2-8 4-4 5 0 1 0 1 16 6 -
Lou Amundson * 27 5-7 0-0 1-2 10 1 1 4 0 11 20 -
Jared Dudley * 22 1-4 1-3 0-0 1 1 1 1 0 3 3 -
Robin Lopez * 18 3-6 0-0 0-0 0 0 2 0 0 6 2 -
Goran Dragic * 16 1-4 1-2 1-2 2 4 0 0 0 4 6 -
Jarron Collins * 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 0 4 -

* = starter