Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana State Sycamores | Evansville Purple Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 56.7% | 43.3% | -1.5 | ✓ (5.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 76.4% | 23.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 4.0% | 96.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.3% | 13.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.2% | 13.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Evansville Purple Aces -7 (56-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Marshall | 38 | 7-10 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 17 | - |
| C. Richard | 35 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 2 | - |
| R. Reed | 31 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | - |
| J. Printy | 29 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| A. Carter | 22 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| J. Crawford | 16 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| B. Leitnaker | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| I. Martin | 11 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| K. Doluony | 6 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Holmes | 38 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 9 | - |
| C. Ryan | 34 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| K. Lacey | 28 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| J. Haarsma | 28 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| C. Hopf | 20 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| T. Taylor | 20 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| P. van Tongeren | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| N. Cox | 12 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| L. Jones | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter