Model Predictions
| Model | Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.3% | 64.7% | +3.2 | ✗ (7.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 22.5% | 77.5% | +6.8 | ✗ (10.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs -4 (53-57). Ratings: 2009-10 season-end ratings.
Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephon Carter * | 38 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 8-11 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Trent Blakley * | 38 | 7-15 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 5 | - |
| Donavan Bragg * | 38 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 17 | - |
| Santwon Latunde * | 36 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 9-9 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 18 | - |
| Marcus Hall * | 24 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Bryan Emanuel | 20 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jose Lara | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Cory Brown | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorenzo Keeler * | 31 | 2-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Will Taylor * | 27 | 6-14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Justin Brown * | 24 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -6 | - |
| Shawn Lewis * | 21 | 3-13 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -3 | - |
| Jordan Lewis * | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| David Hanson | 30 | 6-16 | 0-4 | 5-8 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Charles Anderson | 18 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Kyle Odister | 16 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Ryan Darling | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
* = starter