Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | Xavier Musketeers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.2% | 55.8% | +1.3 | ✓ (23.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.0% | 36.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Xavier Musketeers +25 (74-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Daugherty | 0 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 5 | - |
| K. Ross | 0 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| C. Nance | 0 | 0-7 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Raterman | 0 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| P. Lalor | 0 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
Xavier Musketeers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Phillips | 0 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 3 | - |
| A. Harris | 0 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 6-8 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 24 | - |
| T. Phillips | 0 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 22 | - |
| S. Jennings | 0 | 0-8 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1 | - |
| T. Moss | 0 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | - |
* = starter