Model Predictions
| Model | New Mexico Lobos | TCU Horned Frogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 82.2% | 17.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 88.1% | 11.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 84.1% | 15.9% | -9.2 | ✓ (6.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 68.2% | 31.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 90.1% | 9.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 90.1% | 9.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 69.2% | 30.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: TCU Horned Frogs -16 (57-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Martinez | 36 | 4-11 | 3-9 | 5-6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 15 | - |
| D. Hobson | 36 | 6-8 | 1-1 | 6-7 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 27 | - |
| P. McDonald | 30 | 6-11 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 14 | - |
| W. Brown | 21 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| A.J. Hardeman | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| D. Gary | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 8 | - |
| N. Garth | 17 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | - |
| C. Dennis | 13 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| C. Adams | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Fenton | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
TCU Horned Frogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Moss | 37 | 12-17 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 30 | 23 | - |
| E. Ruzgas | 35 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| G. Hill | 26 | 2-9 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -3 | - |
| Z. Buljan | 25 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | - |
| K. Butler | 24 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| N. Cerina | 20 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -4 | - |
| X. Roberson | 17 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| G. Green | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Mitchem | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter