Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Pilots | Santa Clara Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.3% | 91.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 19.6% | 80.4% | +7.8 | ✗ (29.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 80.3% | 19.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 96.3% | 3.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 96.3% | 3.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Santa Clara Broncos -22 (52-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Pilots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Niedermeyer | 30 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| J. Stohl | 29 | 6-10 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 10 | - |
| T.J. Campbell | 27 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| L. Sikma | 26 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 19 | - |
| K. Knutson | 23 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| N. Mitrovic | 19 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 3 | - |
| R. Smeulders | 17 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| T. Ito | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| J. Hannibal | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| E. Waterford | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| C. Mivshek | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Santa Clara Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Santos | 32 | 0-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Smith | 31 | 6-11 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 10 | - |
| M. Trasolini | 27 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| T. Payne | 22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| C. Cunningham | 22 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| R. Cowels III | 21 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
| N. Harrison | 19 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| T. Alexander | 12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| B. Dowdell | 11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| P. Bach | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Perricone | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N. Mensah | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter