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2010-01-30

Model Predictions

Model Gonzaga Bulldogs San Francisco Dons Spread Result
Elo 88.4% 11.6% -
Bradley-Terry 98.9% 1.1% -
Margin 100.0% 0.0% -63.9 (67.9 off)
Pythagorean 72.6% 27.4% -
Efficiency 89.1% 10.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 93.5% 6.5% -
Log Adjusted 93.5% 6.5% -

Actual: San Francisco Dons +4 (81-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Harris 45 5-8 2-2 9-13 8 2 1 0 3 21 21 -
M. Bouldin 41 6-13 1-5 2-2 12 5 1 0 1 15 19 -
S. Gray 40 2-13 0-5 4-6 6 2 0 0 3 8 0 -
R. Sacre 30 4-8 0-0 5-7 2 0 0 1 3 13 5 -
D. Goodson 22 4-5 1-1 0-0 4 1 2 1 4 9 8 -
G. Gibbs 17 3-6 1-2 1-1 4 0 0 0 2 8 4 -
M. Arop 9 0-1 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 1 2 -
W. Foster 8 1-1 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 2 0 2 3 -
B. Kong 8 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
K. Olynyk 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
M. Hart 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

San Francisco Dons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Caloiaro 36 4-8 3-7 0-0 2 2 1 1 1 11 8 -
K. Vaughn 35 2-10 0-3 6-8 8 3 2 0 3 10 10 -
D. Bryant 31 2-3 1-1 0-0 3 9 0 0 1 5 13 -
D. Lowhorn 31 8-18 5-7 1-4 9 0 1 1 1 22 14 -
M. Diarra 23 4-4 0-0 3-6 1 0 0 0 1 11 7 -
R. Green 23 5-8 1-4 4-7 4 1 2 0 6 15 8 -
P. Blackwell 21 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 2 1 -
M. Williams 15 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
T. Bruha 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 -

* = starter