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2010-01-30

Model Predictions

Model Montana Grizzlies Northern Arizona Lumberjacks Spread Result
Elo 77.0% 23.0% -
Bradley-Terry 67.4% 32.6% -
Margin 70.4% 29.6% -4.8 (15.2 off)
Pythagorean 74.5% 25.5% -
Efficiency 85.4% 14.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 89.4% 10.6% -
Log Adjusted 89.5% 10.5% -

Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks -20 (64-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Montana Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Johnson 31 9-14 1-1 9-9 4 2 3 0 5 28 18 -
B. Qvale 29 3-4 0-0 1-2 3 3 0 0 0 7 9 -
R. Staudacher 27 2-6 1-4 2-2 1 1 0 0 1 7 2 -
W. Cherry 27 7-10 0-0 5-6 7 1 5 0 1 19 21 -
D. Selvig 20 1-3 1-1 0-0 3 3 0 1 1 3 6 -
J. McGillis 20 4-6 0-1 1-2 5 2 0 0 0 9 10 -
M. Taylor 13 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
S. Stockton 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 2 2 1 -
R. Young 10 2-4 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 5 1 -
M. Ward 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
V. Banny 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Jones 38 9-18 2-4 2-2 3 4 0 0 2 22 9 -
J. Olubuyi 37 0-0 0-0 2-4 2 7 1 0 3 2 9 -
G. Rogers 28 1-6 1-6 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 3 -2 -
N. Larson 27 1-5 1-4 0-0 6 2 0 0 2 3 4 -
S. Johannsen 21 3-6 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 0 1 7 5 -
J. Lepley 19 4-9 0-0 5-7 2 1 2 1 1 13 9 -
D. Jones 16 6-10 1-4 1-1 1 2 1 0 1 14 7 -
R. Wallace 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
S. Saldivar 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -

* = starter