Model Predictions
| Model | Montana Grizzlies | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.0% | 23.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.4% | 32.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 70.4% | 29.6% | -4.8 | ✓ (15.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 74.5% | 25.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 85.4% | 14.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.4% | 10.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.5% | 10.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks -20 (64-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Johnson | 31 | 9-14 | 1-1 | 9-9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 28 | 18 | - |
| B. Qvale | 29 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| R. Staudacher | 27 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| W. Cherry | 27 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 21 | - |
| D. Selvig | 20 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| J. McGillis | 20 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| M. Taylor | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| S. Stockton | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| R. Young | 10 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| M. Ward | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| V. Banny | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Jones | 38 | 9-18 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 9 | - |
| J. Olubuyi | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 9 | - |
| G. Rogers | 28 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| N. Larson | 27 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| S. Johannsen | 21 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| J. Lepley | 19 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| D. Jones | 16 | 6-10 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| R. Wallace | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Saldivar | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter