Model Predictions
| Model | Bradley Braves | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.7% | 31.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.9% | 69.1% | +4.4 | ✓ (14.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 89.8% | 10.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +19 (66-47). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Bradley Braves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Brown | 36 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 7 | - |
| S. Maniscalco | 35 | 4-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 5 | - |
| D. Simms-Edwards | 31 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| A. Warren | 30 | 3-12 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | -2 | - |
| S. Singh | 24 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| C. Roberts | 17 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| W. Egolf | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| E. McCain | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Eastman | 4 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | - |
| A. Thompson | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Knezevic | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Rubin | 34 | 0-7 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| O. Eldridge | 33 | 5-14 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | - |
| D. Odiakosa | 29 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 7-11 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 27 | - |
| L. Phillips | 27 | 5-11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 2 | - |
| T. Lewis | 27 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11 | - |
| A. Hill | 17 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| J. Carmichael | 16 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| K. Thornton | 8 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Clark | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Johnson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter