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2010-01-30

Model Predictions

Model Bradley Braves Illinois State Redbirds Spread Result
Elo 68.7% 31.3% -
Bradley-Terry 37.7% 62.3% -
Margin 30.9% 69.1% +4.4 (14.6 off)
Pythagorean 43.1% 56.9% -
Efficiency 89.8% 10.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 44.5% 55.5% -
Log Adjusted 44.5% 55.5% -

Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +19 (66-47). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Bradley Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Brown 36 3-8 1-2 1-2 8 1 0 1 3 8 7 -
S. Maniscalco 35 4-8 1-5 0-0 3 2 1 1 3 9 5 -
D. Simms-Edwards 31 2-9 0-2 3-4 4 2 3 0 1 7 6 -
A. Warren 30 3-12 2-7 3-4 1 0 1 0 3 11 -2 -
S. Singh 24 0-1 0-0 4-4 2 0 0 1 2 4 4 -
C. Roberts 17 1-6 1-4 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 3 0 -
W. Egolf 13 0-1 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 1 0 2 4 -
E. McCain 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Eastman 4 0-3 0-1 1-2 0 0 1 0 0 1 -1 -
A. Thompson 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
M. Knezevic 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Illinois State Redbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Rubin 34 0-7 0-5 2-2 5 4 1 0 0 2 5 -
O. Eldridge 33 5-14 3-9 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 13 4 -
D. Odiakosa 29 9-12 0-0 7-11 12 1 1 2 2 25 27 -
L. Phillips 27 5-11 3-4 0-0 2 2 1 0 5 13 2 -
T. Lewis 27 2-5 0-0 0-0 13 2 0 0 3 4 11 -
A. Hill 17 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 3 3 -
J. Carmichael 16 2-6 0-0 0-1 6 1 0 0 0 4 5 -
K. Thornton 8 1-4 0-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 2 2 -
J. Clark 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 2 0 -1 -
T. Johnson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter