๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2010-01-30

Model Predictions

Model Wyoming Cowboys Air Force Falcons Spread Result
Elo 44.9% 55.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 42.7% 57.3% - โœ“
Margin 37.2% 62.8% +2.9 โœ“ (4.1 off)
Pythagorean 51.1% 48.9% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 55.8% 44.2% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 55.8% 44.2% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 43.7% 56.3% - โœ“

Actual: Air Force Falcons +7 (70-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wyoming Cowboys

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Luster 38 2-8 2-6 4-4 2 3 0 0 3 10 4 -
D. Jackson 32 10-13 0-1 1-2 6 3 1 0 2 21 16 -
D. Thiam 30 5-7 0-0 0-2 9 1 0 3 1 10 15 -
A. M'Baye 28 5-7 0-1 1-3 2 1 1 0 4 11 4 -
A. Bouedo 23 2-6 2-5 2-2 4 0 0 0 1 8 5 -
R. Dermody 20 1-8 1-8 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 3 -2 -
B. Sylla 16 0-1 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 1 2 0 5 -
A.J. Davis 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 -1 -
D. Harrison 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

Air Force Falcons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Fletcher 39 2-5 2-5 2-2 0 5 2 0 1 8 9 -
E. Washington 38 7-10 2-3 7-8 4 7 1 0 1 23 24 -
G. Parker 31 5-11 1-2 1-2 5 1 2 0 2 12 7 -
T. Fow 26 1-8 1-6 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 3 -2 -
M. Lyons 23 6-12 3-5 1-2 4 1 0 0 1 16 8 -
M. Fitzgerald 18 2-4 2-4 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 6 5 -
T. Broekhuis 12 0-1 0-0 2-2 4 2 0 1 1 2 7 -
M. McLain 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 0 1 -
S. Hempsey 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Stewart 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter