Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Hoosiers | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.7% | 83.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.8% | 51.2% | +0.3 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.2% | 91.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.1% | 91.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +2 (72-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Hoosiers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Jones III | 38 | 5-20 | 2-7 | 10-12 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 10 | - |
| C. Watford | 30 | 1-10 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -2 | - |
| J. Rivers | 28 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| J. Hulls | 27 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| D. Dumes | 20 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | - |
| B. Capobianco | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| D. Elston | 16 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 3 | - |
| T. Pritchard | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| T. Jobe | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| M. Bawa | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. McCamey | 36 | 7-12 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 12 | - |
| M. Tisdale | 30 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | - |
| D.J. Richardson | 30 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 3-5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 4 | - |
| B. Cole | 29 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| T. Griffey | 20 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| M. Davis | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| J. Jordan | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Keller | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| B. Paul | 11 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
* = starter