Model Predictions
| Model | LSU Tigers | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.4% | 71.6% | +5.1 | ✓ (10.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 18.4% | 81.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 12.1% | 87.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.0% | 96.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.9% | 96.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +16 (67-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Mitchell | 39 | 10-24 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 10 | - |
| B. Spencer | 28 | 3-10 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | - |
| E. Ludwig | 24 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| D. Populist | 22 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| C. Beattie | 20 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Z. Kinsley | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Warren | 14 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -5 | - |
| A. Dotson | 11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| G. Green | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| C. Bass | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| D. Harris | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Varnado | 34 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 16 | - |
| B. Stewart | 33 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| D. Bost | 29 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| R. Johnson | 24 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 7 | - |
| K. Augustus | 21 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| P. Turner | 21 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 4-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| R. Benock | 16 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| R. Osby | 15 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| J. Reik | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| C. Parker | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Price | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| W. Lewis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Luczak | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter