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2010-01-30

Model Predictions

Model LSU Tigers Mississippi State Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 10.5% 89.5% +13.7 โœ“ (2.3 off)
Bradley-Terry 16.6% 83.4% - โœ“
Margin 6.8% 93.2% +14.4 โœ“ (1.6 off)
Pythagorean 23.9% 76.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 4.0% 96.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 3.9% 96.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 21.8% 78.2% - โœ“

Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +16 (67-51). Ratings: 2009-10 season-end ratings.

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tasmin Mitchell 39 10-24 0-2 6-6 10 0 0 0 2 26 10 -
B. Spencer 28 3-10 3-8 0-0 1 3 0 0 3 9 0 -
E. Ludwig 24 0-1 0-0 2-2 6 2 0 0 0 2 9 -
D. Populist 22 1-3 1-3 1-2 2 1 0 0 2 4 2 -
C. Beattie 20 2-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 5 3 -
Z. Kinsley 16 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 -1 -
S. Warren 14 1-6 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -5 -
A. Dotson 11 0-3 0-1 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 -
Garrett Green 10 1-2 0-0 0-2 6 0 0 0 0 2 6 -
C. Bass 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
Dennis Harris 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

Mississippi State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jarvis Varnado 34 4-8 0-0 3-7 10 1 1 4 3 11 16 -
B. Stewart 33 3-7 2-4 4-5 1 0 2 0 0 12 8 -
Dee Bost 29 1-4 0-3 0-0 4 5 1 0 2 2 6 -
R. Johnson 24 6-11 1-4 2-3 2 0 0 1 0 15 7 -
K. Augustus 21 0-2 0-2 5-6 4 1 0 2 1 5 9 -
P. Turner 21 3-7 2-2 4-5 5 0 0 0 1 12 9 -
R. Benock 16 1-4 1-4 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 3 1 -
Romero Osby 15 2-5 1-3 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 5 5 -
J. Reik 3 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
C. Parker 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Price 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
W. Lewis 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Luczak 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter