Model Predictions
| Model | Central Michigan Chippewas | Bowling Green Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.2% | 57.8% | +1.7 | ✗ (13.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.1% | 42.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Bowling Green Falcons -12 (52-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Central Michigan Chippewas
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Harman | 36 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| J. Bitzer | 35 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 16 | - |
| A. Rashid | 28 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 | - |
| J. Thomas | 26 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 17 | - |
| M. Spica | 23 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| A. Weary | 21 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 5 | - |
| W. McClure | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - |
| C. Kellermann | 14 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | - |
| B. Ford | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Bowling Green Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Thomas | 39 | 5-15 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| E. Marschall | 34 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| D. Brown | 30 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 2-5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
| J. Jakubowski | 26 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| J. Crawford | 24 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -3 | - |
| M. Larson | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| O. Polk | 18 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 11 | - |
| D. McElroy | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Kraus | 4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D. Goins | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Erger | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter