Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | St. Bonaventure Bonnies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.3% | 31.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.7% | 36.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 65.2% | 34.8% | -3.5 | ✓ (13.5 off) |
| Efficiency | 93.9% | 6.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: St. Bonaventure Bonnies -17 (58-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Johnson | 30 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| L. Warren | 24 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 16 | - |
| C. Wright | 23 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| K. Huelsman | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| P. Williams | 19 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| M. Johnson | 19 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 14 | - |
| D. Searcy | 17 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| R. Lowery | 16 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| M. Perry | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| J. Benson | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| L. Fabrizius | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
St. Bonaventure Bonnies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Matthews | 34 | 2-9 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| M. Davenport | 29 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | - |
| M. Eleby | 28 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 7-8 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 11 | - |
| J. Hall | 26 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| O. Adegboye | 20 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| M. Simmons | 17 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| B. Roseboro | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| D. Cook | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Houseknecht | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| D. Conger | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| L. Leonard | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter