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2010-01-30

Model Predictions

Model Dayton Flyers St. Bonaventure Bonnies Spread Result
Elo 68.3% 31.7% -
Bradley-Terry 63.7% 36.3% -
Margin 65.2% 34.8% -3.5 (13.5 off)
Efficiency 93.9% 6.1% -

Actual: St. Bonaventure Bonnies -17 (58-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dayton Flyers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Johnson 30 3-8 2-4 4-4 3 0 1 0 1 12 7 -
L. Warren 24 2-2 0-0 7-10 3 4 2 0 2 11 16 -
C. Wright 23 2-5 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 3 2 5 4 -
K. Huelsman 20 3-5 0-0 3-4 7 0 0 1 1 9 11 -
P. Williams 19 2-6 2-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 6 2 -
M. Johnson 19 3-4 1-1 4-5 8 2 0 0 3 11 14 -
D. Searcy 17 3-7 0-0 3-5 6 1 1 2 2 9 10 -
R. Lowery 16 1-6 1-3 0-0 1 4 0 0 1 3 1 -
M. Perry 14 1-1 0-0 3-4 1 2 0 0 0 5 7 -
J. Benson 13 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 4 4 -
L. Fabrizius 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 -

St. Bonaventure Bonnies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Matthews 34 2-9 2-8 1-3 4 3 1 1 2 7 5 -
M. Davenport 29 4-11 0-3 2-2 1 1 1 0 0 10 2 -
M. Eleby 28 3-10 0-3 7-8 8 3 1 0 4 13 11 -
J. Hall 26 3-8 1-2 0-2 0 2 2 1 0 7 4 -
O. Adegboye 20 3-6 1-2 1-3 0 1 1 0 1 8 3 -
M. Simmons 17 4-7 0-0 0-4 7 0 1 0 0 8 9 -
B. Roseboro 15 2-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 1 1 4 3 -
D. Cook 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 -
J. Houseknecht 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 0 4 -
D. Conger 4 0-1 0-1 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
L. Leonard 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter