Model Predictions
| Model | Northwestern Wildcats | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.4% | 94.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.0% | 85.0% | +9.6 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.3% | 98.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.7% | 84.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.6% | 84.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +9 (79-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Thompson | 39 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | - |
| J. Shurna | 38 | 11-23 | 6-13 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 15 | - |
| J. Nash | 38 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 4-5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 16 | - |
| D. Crawford | 28 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 6 | - |
| L. Mirkovic | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | - |
| D. Curletti | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - |
| M. Capocci | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| A. Marcotullio | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Rowley | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Lucas | 36 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 10-12 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 17 | - |
| C. Allen | 32 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| D. Summers | 31 | 9-13 | 2-4 | 4-7 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 22 | - |
| D. Green | 28 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 18 | - |
| D. Roe | 21 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 17 | - |
| K. Lucious | 21 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| R. Morgan | 16 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| G. Sherman | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Nix | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| I. Dahlman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Thornton | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Kebler | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter