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2010-01-30

Model Predictions

Model Fresno State Bulldogs Boise State Broncos Spread Result
Elo 23.1% 76.9% -
Bradley-Terry 29.2% 70.8% -
Margin 21.1% 78.9% +7.3 (8.7 off)

Actual: Boise State Broncos +16 (65-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Fresno State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Shepp 36 0-4 0-3 0-0 5 2 1 0 1 0 3 -
S. Seay 29 4-9 0-4 1-1 8 2 0 3 4 9 9 -
M. Ladd 27 2-8 1-5 2-3 2 0 0 0 2 7 -1 -
G. Smith 26 4-10 0-0 1-4 7 4 2 1 6 9 7 -
J. Brown 26 5-7 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 2 10 8 -
B. Sperling 20 2-4 0-1 0-1 1 0 0 0 6 4 -5 -
N. Golubovic 20 1-6 0-1 0-0 3 1 1 0 3 2 -2 -
G. Johnson 16 4-6 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 8 3 -

Boise State Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Arnold 33 4-9 0-3 1-1 7 1 0 2 2 9 8 -
A. Thomas 33 2-4 1-2 2-3 2 2 2 0 1 7 8 -
P. Noonan 33 4-11 4-9 0-0 6 4 1 0 1 12 11 -
D. Montreal 32 5-10 0-2 3-4 5 1 2 0 1 13 10 -
K. Cunningham 26 6-8 0-0 1-3 5 3 2 0 5 13 10 -
I. Okoye 22 4-10 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 1 3 8 0 -
L. Anderson 21 0-3 0-1 3-6 0 0 1 0 3 3 -2 -

* = starter