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2010-01-30

Model Predictions

Model Princeton Tigers Yale Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 17.6% 82.4% -
Bradley-Terry 51.9% 48.1% -
Margin 51.3% 48.7% -0.3 (12.7 off)
Pythagorean 66.3% 33.7% -
Efficiency 96.3% 3.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 90.4% 9.6% -
Log Adjusted 90.5% 9.5% -

Actual: Yale Bulldogs -13 (45-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Princeton Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Davis 40 5-8 1-3 2-2 5 0 1 0 3 13 8 -
M. Schroeder 33 3-5 1-1 0-0 3 6 2 0 0 7 13 -
D. Mavraides 30 2-6 1-3 2-2 2 2 0 0 2 7 3 -
Z. Finley 25 2-4 0-0 2-2 6 2 2 0 1 6 11 -
K. Maddox 20 4-5 0-0 1-1 4 1 0 1 0 9 10 -
P. Buczak 18 4-8 0-1 0-0 3 1 2 1 1 8 6 -
I. Hummer 17 3-8 0-0 2-4 4 0 0 0 2 8 2 -
P. Saunders 17 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -

Yale Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Braswell 31 2-5 1-2 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 5 4 -
M. Sands 29 3-6 1-1 7-11 6 1 0 0 1 14 14 -
A. Zampier 28 4-11 0-2 5-5 2 1 1 0 6 13 0 -
G. Mangano 23 3-5 1-2 1-2 5 0 0 1 2 8 7 -
A. Morgan 21 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Gibson 19 1-5 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 1 2 2 -1 -
P. Nelson 18 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 2 3 -
R. Willhite 12 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
J. Davis 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 0 2 -
M. Grace 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
B. Katz 4 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter