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2010-01-28

Model Predictions

Model Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons Western Illinois Leathernecks Spread Result
Elo 67.6% 32.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 62.1% 37.9% - โœ“
Margin 53.6% 46.4% -0.8 โœ“ (4.2 off)
Pythagorean 56.8% 43.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 69.1% 30.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 69.8% 30.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 51.5% 48.5% - โœ“

Actual: Western Illinois Leathernecks -5 (58-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Z. Plackemeier 40 3-6 2-3 3-3 5 8 1 0 1 11 18 -
B. Botts 36 3-7 0-1 7-8 3 2 0 0 1 13 10 -
N. Daniels 30 5-11 3-7 0-2 2 1 0 1 0 13 6 -
D. Yearby 29 3-12 0-2 3-6 10 1 1 6 2 9 13 -
A. Snead 24 4-5 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 8 6 -
T. McCorkle 23 1-6 0-0 2-2 7 0 0 0 2 4 3 -
F. Gaines 9 1-3 0-1 1-1 1 0 1 0 0 3 2 -
O. Kovalov 5 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
J. Mixon 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 2 0 1 0 1 -

Western Illinois Leathernecks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Clark III 39 4-12 2-6 4-4 4 2 2 0 2 14 8 -
D. Nurse 36 2-4 0-1 0-0 6 1 0 0 0 4 7 -
J. Granstra 30 4-9 0-0 0-2 6 1 0 2 0 8 8 -
Q. Kirby 29 3-8 1-1 8-8 5 4 0 1 3 15 14 -
M. Lander 20 3-9 1-1 2-2 3 1 1 0 1 9 4 -
E. Okafor Jr. 18 2-3 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 1 1 6 8 -
T. Tyler 15 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 0 0 -
D. Gebru 10 1-5 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 2 -2 -
A. Niang 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter