Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.7% | 90.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.0% | 86.0% | +10.0 | ✓ (13.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.6% | 87.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.4% | 87.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos +23 (80-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Keeler | 33 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 7-10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 13 | - |
| W. Taylor | 30 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | - |
| D. Hanson | 29 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 2 | - |
| J. Brown | 26 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 4 | - |
| S. Lewis | 21 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | - |
| J. Lewis | 21 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| K. Odister | 19 | 2-10 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -1 | - |
| R. Darling | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Anderson | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Royer | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Nunnally | 30 | 7-12 | 4-5 | 2-4 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 16 | - |
| O. Johnson | 29 | 5-8 | 1-4 | 7-7 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 21 | - |
| J. Powell | 25 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| W. Brew | 23 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. Serna | 16 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 5 | - |
| J. Joyner | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| L. Devenny | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| S. Phippen | 13 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| J. Weiner | 13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| G. Somogyi | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| C. Brew | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| C. Peterson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Kamphoefner | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter