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2010-01-28

Model Predictions

Model USC Trojans Oregon State Beavers Spread Result
Elo 84.8% 15.2% -
Bradley-Terry 44.9% 55.1% -
Margin 34.0% 66.0% +3.6 (2.4 off)
Pythagorean 56.3% 43.7% -
Efficiency 86.8% 13.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 52.6% 47.4% -
Log Adjusted 52.7% 47.3% -

Actual: Oregon State Beavers +6 (51-45). Predictions use season-end ratings.

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Gerrity 40 0-3 0-0 2-2 2 6 1 0 3 2 5 -
M. Johnson 39 4-14 0-1 1-1 3 2 2 0 6 9 -4 -
D. Lewis 36 2-12 1-8 0-0 4 1 0 0 3 5 -5 -
N. Vucevic 31 5-7 2-3 0-0 8 0 0 3 2 12 14 -
A. Stepheson 25 2-4 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 2 4 5 -
L. Washington 24 4-5 0-0 3-6 6 1 1 0 0 11 14 -
M. Simmons 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -1 -
D. Smith 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Oregon State Beavers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Haynes 37 7-15 2-3 9-12 4 1 3 0 2 25 16 -
S. Tarver 35 1-9 0-0 1-2 6 2 2 0 1 3 3 -
R. Schaftenaar 34 4-7 0-2 2-2 4 2 0 0 0 10 9 -
J. Tarver 24 2-2 1-1 1-2 1 1 2 0 1 6 7 -
O. Johnson 24 1-4 0-2 2-2 3 0 2 0 2 4 3 -
J. Burton 17 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Cunningham 16 0-1 0-0 3-4 0 0 1 1 4 3 0 -
L. Wallace 6 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
C. Hampton 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Deane 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter