Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | UC Riverside Highlanders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 31.5% | 68.5% | +4.3 | ✗ (14.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UC Riverside Highlanders -10 (50-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Harden | 37 | 7-14 | 0-1 | 5-8 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 19 | - |
| M. Payne | 36 | 2-9 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| J. Floyd | 31 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| T. Lowenthal | 31 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | - |
| A. Malik | 16 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| J. Welch | 13 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| D. Calegari | 12 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| R. Howley | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| R. Sypkens | 9 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Ranger | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
UC Riverside Highlanders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Austin | 37 | 10-15 | 1-2 | 1-10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 17 | - |
| L. McMullan | 34 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| S. Cunningham | 34 | 1-10 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| D. Gordon | 30 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | - |
| L. Gurganious | 20 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| D. Chavarria | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| B. Hampton | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| B. Dowdy | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| R. Meo | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter