🐻⬇️🏀

@
2010-01-28

Model Predictions

Model Portland Pilots San Francisco Dons Spread Result
Elo 17.1% 82.9% -
Bradley-Terry 86.1% 13.9% -
Margin 100.0% 0.0% -42.5 (26.5 off)
Pythagorean 74.9% 25.1% -
Efficiency 8.8% 91.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 95.5% 4.5% -
Log Adjusted 95.5% 4.5% -

Actual: San Francisco Dons -16 (58-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Stohl 37 7-13 6-12 2-2 3 0 5 0 1 22 16 -
T.J. Campbell 33 5-8 1-2 8-8 1 4 1 0 3 19 14 -
R. Smeulders 28 3-7 0-0 3-7 5 3 0 0 1 9 9 -
E. Niedermeyer 25 4-7 1-3 2-2 1 2 0 0 0 11 7 -
L. Sikma 23 2-6 0-0 0-0 14 2 0 0 3 4 11 -
N. Mitrovic 20 3-7 1-3 0-0 2 0 2 0 0 7 4 -
K. Knutson 16 0-1 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
T. Ito 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Hannibal 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
C. Mivshek 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
E. Waterford 1 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

San Francisco Dons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Caloiaro 30 2-6 2-5 0-0 3 3 0 0 1 6 5 -
K. Vaughn 27 2-6 0-2 2-3 4 1 0 1 2 6 4 -
P. Blackwell 27 4-7 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 8 3 -
D. Bryant 26 2-3 1-2 0-0 3 2 3 0 3 5 7 -
R. Green 25 5-10 3-5 1-3 4 2 0 0 2 14 8 -
D. Lowhorn 23 4-7 0-1 4-5 9 0 0 1 1 12 14 -
T. Bruha 16 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 4 0 -2 -
M. Williams 13 0-3 0-2 1-2 1 2 0 0 2 1 -1 -
M. Diarra 9 1-2 0-0 1-3 1 0 0 1 1 3 2 -
B. Wallace 3 0-0 0-0 3-3 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
N. Stojiljkovic 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter