Model Predictions
| Model | Montana State Bobcats | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.4% | 16.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 55.7% | 44.3% | -1.3 | ✗ (14.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 94.0% | 6.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks +13 (71-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Johnson | 33 | 4-14 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 4 | - |
| M. Navarre | 32 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| B. Howard | 31 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| W. Bynum | 28 | 3-9 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| E. Rush | 26 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| D. Piepoli | 18 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| A. Brown | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| C. Henderson | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Jones | 39 | 9-22 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 12 | - |
| N. Larson | 31 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | - |
| J. Olubuyi | 29 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - |
| S. Johannsen | 27 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| G. Rogers | 26 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| D. Jones | 15 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| J. Lepley | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7 | - |
| S. Saldivar | 11 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| R. Wallace | 9 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter