Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Illinois Salukis | Indiana State Sycamores | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.7% | 71.3% | +5.0 | ✓ (2.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 65.0% | 35.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana State Sycamores +3 (68-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Southern Illinois Salukis
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Dillard | 37 | 5-11 | 3-4 | 3-6 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 14 | - |
| J. Bocot | 30 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 12 | - |
| T. Freeman | 30 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| C. Fay | 28 | 1-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -3 | - |
| E. Teague | 22 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5-10 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 17 | - |
| A. Booker | 21 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 7 | - |
| J. Crowder | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | - |
| K. Brown-Surles | 8 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
| J. Freeman | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| N. Mitchell | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| N. Evans | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Marshall | 36 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 17 | - |
| R. Reed | 35 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| J. Printy | 26 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| C. Richard | 25 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 4 | - |
| J. Crawford | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | - |
| D. Lathan | 19 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| I. Martin | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| K. Doluony | 10 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| A. Carter | 9 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 4-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| B. Leitnaker | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter