Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Arkansas Razorbacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.4% | 64.6% | +3.3 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 80.3% | 19.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +5 (67-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bost | 37 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 0 | - |
| R. Johnson | 34 | 9-19 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 7 | - |
| J. Varnado | 32 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 16 | - |
| K. Augustus | 25 | 2-13 | 0-4 | 6-7 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| B. Stewart | 25 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 4 | - |
| P. Turner | 22 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| R. Benock | 18 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| R. Osby | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Clarke | 38 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| C. Fortson | 36 | 9-17 | 3-6 | 14-18 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 35 | 26 | - |
| M. Powell | 29 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 15 | - |
| M. Washington | 28 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| S. Welsh | 24 | 4-10 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| M. Britt | 14 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Johnson | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| G. Bryant | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Farmer | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Nobles | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter