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2010-01-27

Model Predictions

Model Illinois State Redbirds Wichita State Shockers Spread Result
Elo 44.2% 55.8% -
Bradley-Terry 23.1% 76.9% -
Margin 12.2% 87.8% +10.9 (2.9 off)
Pythagorean 42.8% 57.2% -
Efficiency 18.9% 81.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 25.1% 74.9% -
Log Adjusted 25.0% 75.0% -

Actual: Wichita State Shockers +8 (74-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Illinois State Redbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Phillips 38 7-15 2-4 6-7 3 8 2 0 5 22 15 -
D. Odiakosa 36 4-6 0-0 2-3 8 0 1 1 0 10 14 -
O. Eldridge 28 4-11 1-4 0-0 1 1 2 0 2 9 0 -
A. Rubin 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 4 1 0 1 0 4 -
A. Hill 24 3-8 0-1 3-6 3 0 1 0 2 9 3 -
K. Thornton 19 2-3 2-3 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 6 4 -
J. Carmichael 15 3-6 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 2 8 3 -
T. Lewis 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 5 -
J. Clark 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
B. Mishler 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Coates 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Johnson 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Wichita State Shockers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Murry 37 4-9 1-3 3-4 6 4 1 0 4 12 10 -
C. Hannah 35 7-12 3-6 5-7 2 5 1 0 2 22 16 -
J.T. Durley 31 2-6 2-3 3-5 3 2 0 2 1 9 9 -
G. Hatch 25 2-6 1-3 2-2 3 0 2 1 0 7 7 -
A. Ellis 24 3-5 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 6 4 -
D. Kyles 17 1-4 1-2 0-0 5 0 1 0 2 3 3 -
G. Blair 16 3-4 0-0 2-2 6 1 1 0 2 8 10 -
G. Stutz 9 1-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 4 3 -
D. Williams 6 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 3 3 -

* = starter