Model Predictions
| Model | Evansville Purple Aces | Missouri State Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.0% | 74.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.2% | 86.8% | +10.4 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Efficiency | 94.0% | 6.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Missouri State Bears +10 (76-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Holmes | 37 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| C. Ryan | 34 | 3-10 | 1-7 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | -1 | - |
| J. Haarsma | 25 | 3-10 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 13 | - |
| C. Hopf | 24 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| K. Lacey | 24 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| T. Taylor | 20 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| L. Jones | 15 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| P. van Tongeren | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| M. Hudson | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Mallett | 32 | 5-13 | 2-8 | 2-5 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| K. Weems | 30 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| A. Leonard | 27 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| J. Fuehrmeyer | 25 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 4 | - |
| N. Ricks | 25 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| W. Creekmore | 24 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 15 | - |
| K. Pickens | 15 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| C. Patterson | 14 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - |
| R. Jehle | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
* = starter