Model Predictions
| Model | UTSA Roadrunners | Texas State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.3% | 82.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.8% | 75.2% | +6.1 | ✓ (7.9 off) |
| Efficiency | 97.0% | 3.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Texas State Bobcats +14 (76-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UTSA Roadrunners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Johnson | 40 | 5-12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | - |
| D. Gibson | 37 | 3-11 | 0-2 | 4-7 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| M. Smith IV | 35 | 4-13 | 3-10 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 4 | - |
| J. Bonney | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - |
| T. Fields | 21 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| L. Jackson | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| D. Stepter | 18 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| M. Johnson III | 8 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. White | 38 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 5-6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| J. Rybak | 35 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| J. Bowman | 34 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| E. Bidias a Moute | 30 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 25 | - |
| C. Johnson | 29 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 18 | - |
| T. Bishop | 15 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| J. Sloan | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| D. Hale | 6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | - |
| J.B. Conley | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| U. Segura | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter