Model Predictions
| Model | Army Black Knights | Lafayette Leopards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.5% | 75.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.2% | 68.8% | +4.3 | ✓ (4.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Lafayette Leopards +9 (77-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Army Black Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Richard | 31 | 9-15 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 13 | - |
| J. Miller | 31 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 5 | - |
| C. Walker | 25 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | - |
| J. Hence | 22 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| J. Simmons | 19 | 7-14 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 6 | - |
| E. Ellis | 19 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| M. Nelson | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| T. Thompson | 14 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| E. Zastoupil | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| M. McDonald | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Springer | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Lafayette Leopards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Mower | 32 | 5-11 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 9 | - |
| M. Gruner | 27 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| R. Willen | 26 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 7-8 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 16 | - |
| J. Kari | 26 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| J. Mintz | 24 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 10-10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 19 | - |
| D. Benbow | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| T. Johnson | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| B. Wheeler | 16 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | - |
| L. Giese | 8 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| J.D. Pelham | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter