Model Predictions
| Model | Florida State Seminoles | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.0% | 96.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.6% | 83.4% | +8.9 | ✓ (5.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 6.7% | 93.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.7% | 93.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.7% | 93.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +14 (70-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Kitchen | 34 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 15 | - |
| C. Singleton | 33 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 2-7 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 15 | - |
| S. Alabi | 27 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 10 | - |
| M. Snaer | 26 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 4 | - |
| L. Loucks | 25 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. Reid | 24 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| D. Dulkys | 17 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| X. Gibson | 13 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| J. DeMercy | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| P. Jordan | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Scheyer | 38 | 7-12 | 4-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 18 | - |
| K. Singler | 38 | 7-15 | 3-10 | 3-6 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 15 | - |
| N. Smith | 38 | 4-15 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | - |
| L. Thomas | 35 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 13 | - |
| M. Plumlee | 19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| B. Zoubek | 13 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| A. Dawkins | 9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| M. Plumlee | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Kelly | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter