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2010-01-27

Model Predictions

Model Creighton Bluejays Bradley Braves Spread Result
Elo 54.0% 46.0% -
Bradley-Terry 78.5% 21.5% -
Margin 84.1% 15.9% -9.1 (4.1 off)
Pythagorean 39.0% 61.0% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 33.2% 66.8% -
Log Adjusted 33.2% 66.8% -

Actual: Bradley Braves -5 (68-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Creighton Bluejays

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Young 27 3-6 1-2 0-1 3 4 0 0 1 7 7 -
K. Lawson Jr. 27 5-7 0-0 6-6 5 2 0 1 2 16 15 -
D. Ashford 26 4-9 3-8 1-2 1 4 2 0 2 12 8 -
J. Carter 23 4-11 1-5 2-2 8 3 0 0 1 11 10 -
E. Wragge 21 3-9 3-8 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 9 3 -
J. Jones 21 5-8 3-6 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 13 7 -
C. Witter 14 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 3 0 0 2 3 3 -
W. Runnels 12 1-7 0-0 0-1 3 2 0 0 0 2 0 -
C. Harriman 12 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
C. Millard 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
K. Korver 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

Bradley Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Maniscalco 37 4-11 1-6 2-2 3 7 1 0 2 11 9 -
T. Brown 36 7-13 1-3 4-5 12 2 1 1 1 19 21 -
A. Warren 35 4-14 3-6 2-2 7 0 2 0 2 13 6 -
C. Roberts 29 2-10 0-3 4-8 7 1 0 0 1 8 5 -
W. Egolf 22 4-7 0-0 2-2 5 1 0 1 0 10 10 -
D. Simms-Edwards 19 1-3 0-2 2-2 2 2 0 0 1 4 4 -
S. Singh 17 1-3 0-0 1-4 7 0 1 1 0 3 9 -
J. Eastman 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter