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2010-01-27

Model Predictions

Model TCU Horned Frogs Colorado State Rams Spread Result
Elo 40.4% 59.6% -
Bradley-Terry 50.0% 50.0% -
Margin 48.2% 51.8% +0.4 (5.6 off)
Pythagorean 24.7% 75.3% -
Efficiency 80.4% 19.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 24.2% 75.8% -
Log Adjusted 24.4% 75.6% -

Actual: Colorado State Rams +6 (63-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

TCU Horned Frogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Moss 39 7-18 4-7 3-4 2 4 0 0 7 21 2 -
E. Ruzgas 32 4-7 4-6 2-4 6 1 1 0 1 14 14 -
N. Cerina 28 2-4 1-1 2-4 6 1 0 0 4 7 6 -
G. Hill 24 1-4 0-2 6-7 0 0 0 0 1 8 3 -
K. Butler 22 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 1 0 2 5 -
G. Green 20 0-4 0-2 0-0 7 0 0 0 1 0 2 -
K. Mitchem 20 0-3 0-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 -
X. Roberson 15 2-5 0-1 1-2 2 1 0 0 2 5 1 -

Colorado State Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Green 37 2-10 0-5 3-4 1 3 1 0 0 7 2 -
A. Ogide 29 7-12 0-0 0-0 10 0 0 0 1 14 11 -
G. Smith 29 4-9 0-1 7-9 6 1 0 1 0 15 14 -
T. Franklin 28 2-5 0-0 3-7 9 1 3 0 4 7 11 -
A. Nigon 21 2-4 2-3 1-2 1 2 0 1 1 7 6 -
T. Busch 20 1-3 0-0 5-6 2 0 0 0 2 7 4 -
P. Hornung 19 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 1 3 2 2 -
H. Perry 11 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 2 3 -
M. Bocar Ba 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 2 1 2 3 -

* = starter