Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Michigan Wolverines | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.4% | 57.6% | +1.7 | ✗ (2.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 88.3% | 11.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.0% | 24.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.0% | 24.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan Wolverines -1 (56-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Lucas | 35 | 5-14 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 2 | - |
| D. Summers | 34 | 4-9 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 14 | - |
| C. Allen | 30 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Morgan | 30 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 17 | - |
| D. Green | 25 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 11 | - |
| D. Roe | 23 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| K. Lucious | 17 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -2 | - |
| A. Thornton | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Nix | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Herzog | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Sims | 39 | 7-18 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 7 | - |
| Z. Novak | 37 | 2-9 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| M. Harris | 36 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 19 | - |
| S. Douglass | 32 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 5 | - |
| L. Lucas-Perry | 26 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Morris | 22 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| A. Wright | 7 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Z. Gibson | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Vogrich | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter