Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | NC State Wolfpack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 35.9% | 64.1% | +3.2 | ✗ (15.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: NC State Wolfpack -12 (69-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. DeGraffenreid | 0 | 3-11 | 0-1 | 10-10 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 17 | - |
| I. Lucas | 0 | 10-22 | 2-6 | 11-12 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 33 | 17 | - |
| T. Ruffin-Pratt | 0 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. Shegog | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | -5 | - |
| L. Broomfield | 0 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 16 | - |
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Ellison | 0 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | - |
| N. Gartrell | 0 | 2-20 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -4 | - |
| A. White | 0 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. Kastanek | 0 | 2-8 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| B. Holston | 0 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
* = starter