Model Predictions
| Model | Cincinnati Bearcats | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.9% | 87.1% | +10.5 | ✓ (2.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.7% | 85.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.5% | 85.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals +8 (68-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cincinnati Bearcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Vaughn | 40 | 4-11 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Y. Gates | 31 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| L. Stephenson | 30 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 12 | - |
| J. Parker | 21 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| I. Thomas | 20 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| C. Wright | 19 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| R. Bishop | 18 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| D. Dixon | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Toyloy | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. McClain | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Wilks | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Delk | 37 | 5-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 20 | - |
| S. Samuels | 36 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 8 | - |
| T. Jennings | 32 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 14 | - |
| E. Sosa | 28 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| J. Smith | 23 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | - |
| P. Knowles | 18 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
| J. Swopshire | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| P. Siva | 12 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| K. Kuric | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter