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2010-01-24

Model Predictions

Model Cincinnati Bearcats Louisville Cardinals Spread Result
Elo 33.8% 66.2% -
Bradley-Terry 25.4% 74.6% -
Margin 12.9% 87.1% +10.5 (2.5 off)
Pythagorean 33.3% 66.7% -
Efficiency 34.3% 65.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 14.7% 85.3% -
Log Adjusted 14.5% 85.5% -

Actual: Louisville Cardinals +8 (68-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cincinnati Bearcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Vaughn 40 4-11 4-7 0-0 1 5 1 0 3 12 5 -
Y. Gates 31 6-12 0-0 0-0 5 3 0 0 0 12 8 -
L. Stephenson 30 5-7 2-3 0-0 6 3 0 0 2 12 12 -
J. Parker 21 1-4 1-3 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 3 2 -
I. Thomas 20 2-6 1-3 0-0 7 1 0 0 1 5 6 -
C. Wright 19 4-7 2-2 2-2 2 1 0 0 1 12 7 -
R. Bishop 18 1-3 0-1 2-2 2 1 0 0 3 4 1 -
D. Dixon 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 0 -1 -
S. Toyloy 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
A. McClain 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
D. Wilks 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Delk 37 5-6 3-4 0-0 11 1 0 1 0 13 20 -
S. Samuels 36 5-13 0-0 4-6 5 3 1 1 3 14 8 -
T. Jennings 32 2-3 0-0 4-4 5 1 2 2 1 8 14 -
E. Sosa 28 4-8 2-5 4-4 1 1 3 0 1 14 10 -
J. Smith 23 3-10 1-5 0-0 1 0 2 1 1 7 0 -
P. Knowles 18 1-7 0-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 -3 -
J. Swopshire 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
P. Siva 12 3-4 1-2 3-5 0 3 3 0 0 10 12 -
K. Kuric 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter