Model Predictions
| Model | Green Bay Phoenix | Youngstown State Penguins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.6% | 23.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 77.9% | 22.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 63.3% | 36.7% | -3.0 | ✓ (11.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.7% | 36.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.7% | 23.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.8% | 23.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Youngstown State Penguins -14 (55-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Green Bay Phoenix
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Fletcher | 37 | 4-13 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | -1 | - |
| R. Berry | 31 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 16 | - |
| B. Perine | 30 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 8 | - |
| T. Cotton | 29 | 7-13 | 7-12 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 16 | - |
| R. Pearson | 19 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| S. Evans | 18 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| C. Barkley | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Smith | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| P. Nelson | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Anderson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Youngstown State Penguins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Cooksey | 34 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| D. Mays | 34 | 2-12 | 0-2 | 6-9 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 2 | - |
| S. Martin | 25 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 1 | - |
| D. Boudler | 24 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| K. Bright | 23 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -2 | - |
| V. Sulskis | 22 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| A. Ward | 21 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| D. Blocker | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| E. D'Haiti | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter